Final Score: Pirates 2 - Astros 1
Sunday, September 13, 2009 at 2:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
54-86 Rating 1409
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +1.2
Astros
70-72 Rating 1498
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 249 274
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 140 142
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 39% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 57%