Final Score: Phillies 5 - Rockies 4
Monday, October 12, 2009 at 6:07 PM ET

Phillies @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
95-70 Rating 1552
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Rockies
93-72 Rating 1521
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rockies
All-time wins 75 62
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.5 4.9
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rockies
Games played 165 165
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 58% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 62%