Final Score: Yankees 10 - Rays 2
Sunday, October 4, 2009 at 1:38 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
102-59 Rating 1595
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Rays
84-77 Rating 1527
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 132 69
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.8 4.2
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 63% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 65%