Final Score: Yankees 3 - Rays 5
Saturday, October 3, 2009 at 7:08 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
102-58 Rating 1597
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.5
Rays
83-77 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 132 68
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.8 4.2
Last meeting 4 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 64% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 65%