Final Score: Yankees 4 - Rays 13
Friday, October 2, 2009 at 7:38 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
102-57 Rating 1599
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.5
Rays
82-77 Rating 1522
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 132 67
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.8 4.1
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.6
Win percentage 64% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 64%