Final Score: Orioles 3 - Rays 5
Wednesday, September 30, 2009 at 7:08 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
60-97 Rating 1428
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.3
Rays
81-76 Rating 1524
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 103 99
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.9
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 157 157
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.7
Win percentage 38% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 64%