Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Rays 11
Friday, September 18, 2009 at 7:38 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
66-80 Rating 1498
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
74-73 Rating 1518
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Rays
All-time wins 103 97
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Rays
Games played 146 147
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.6
Win percentage 45% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 62%