Final Score: Orioles 3 - Rays 2
Thursday, October 1, 2009 at 7:08 PM ET

Orioles @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
60-98 Rating 1427
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +1.3
Rays
82-76 Rating 1525
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Rays
All-time wins 103 100
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 4.9
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Rays
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.6
Win percentage 38% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 65%