Final Score: Yankees 4 - Twins 1
Sunday, October 11, 2009 at 7:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
105-59 Rating 1600
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Twins
87-78 Rating 1531
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Twins
All-time wins 259 172
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.1 3.9
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Twins
Games played 164 165
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.7
Win percentage 64% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 60%