Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 3
Monday, June 1, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
28-20 Rating 1552
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Padres
25-25 Rating 1466
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 226 193
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 48 50
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.6
Win percentage 58% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 73% 74%