Final Score: Marlins 5 - Phillies 3
Monday, May 25, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
20-25 Rating 1483
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
24-18 Rating 1551
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 117 135
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.8 5.3
Last meeting 2 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 45 42
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.7
Avg runs conceded 5.5 5.2
Win percentage 44% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 40%