Final Score: Rays 4 - Marlins 5
Sunday, May 24, 2009 at 1:10 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
23-22 Rating 1525
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Marlins
19-25 Rating 1481
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 28 35
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.5 4.9
Last meeting 10 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 45 44
Avg runs scored 5.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.5
Win percentage 51% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 36%