Final Score: Phillies 12 - Reds 5
Thursday, May 21, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
21-17 Rating 1547
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Reds
21-18 Rating 1477
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 180 240
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 38 39
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.3
Win percentage 55% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 44%