Final Score: Reds 1 - Padres 3
Sunday, May 17, 2009 at 4:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-16 Rating 1478
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.1
Padres
15-22 Rating 1451
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 309 252
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 36 37
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.2
Win percentage 56% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 62%