Final Score: Padres 3 - Cubs 11
Thursday, May 14, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Padres @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
13-21 Rating 1449
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.1
Cubs
19-14 Rating 1529
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cubs
All-time wins 188 236
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.6
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cubs
Games played 34 33
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.7
Win percentage 38% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 62%