Final Score: Astros 4 - Cubs 5
Saturday, May 16, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
16-19 Rating 1499
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
20-14 Rating 1531
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 278 241
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 35 34
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.1
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 46% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 65%