Final Score: Astros 10 - Nationals 11
Tuesday, May 5, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
11-15 Rating 1498
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Nationals
7-17 Rating 1421
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 232 185
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.8
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 26 24
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.6
Win percentage 42% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 42%