Final Score: Nationals 1 - Phillies 7
Tuesday, April 28, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
4-14 Rating 1418
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
10-8 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 325 352
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 11 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 18 18
Avg runs scored 4.7 6.2
Avg runs conceded 5.9 5.9
Win percentage 22% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 10% 40%