Final Score: Nationals 11 - Phillies 13
Monday, April 27, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
4-13 Rating 1420
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
9-8 Rating 1548
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 325 351
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 17 17
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.8
Avg runs conceded 5.5 5.6
Win percentage 24% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 11% 33%