Final Score: Phillies 6 - Marlins 4
Saturday, April 25, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
7-8 Rating 1544
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Marlins
11-5 Rating 1504
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 133 117
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.8
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 15 16
Avg runs scored 5.3 5.4
Avg runs conceded 6.0 4.4
Win percentage 47% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 71%