Final Score: Padres 4 - Phillies 5
Sunday, April 19, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
9-3 Rating 1472
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
4-6 Rating 1544
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 193 225
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 12 10
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.2 7.0
Win percentage 75% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 80% 20%