Final Score: Nationals 4 - Phillies 1
Wednesday, April 29, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
4-15 Rating 1417
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
11-8 Rating 1551
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 325 353
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 19 19
Avg runs scored 4.5 6.2
Avg runs conceded 6.0 5.7
Win percentage 21% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 9% 45%