Final Score: Marlins 3 - Phillies 5
Tuesday, May 26, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-25 Rating 1485
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
24-19 Rating 1549
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 118 135
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 5.3
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 46 43
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.6
Avg runs conceded 5.5 5.2
Win percentage 46% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 38%