Final Score: Marlins 6 - Phillies 2
Wednesday, May 27, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
21-26 Rating 1484
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
25-19 Rating 1550
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 118 136
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 5.3
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 47 44
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.6
Avg runs conceded 5.4 5.2
Win percentage 45% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 41%