Final Score: Nationals 4 - Phillies 5
Friday, May 29, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
14-33 Rating 1410
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.6
Phillies
25-20 Rating 1548
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 326 357
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 6 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 47 45
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.5
Avg runs conceded 6.2 5.2
Win percentage 30% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 39%