Final Score: Pirates 12 - Nationals 7
Monday, May 18, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
16-21 Rating 1434
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
12-25 Rating 1421
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 291 263
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.9
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 37 37
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 6.4
Win percentage 43% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 35%