Final Score: Phillies 10 - Padres 5
Tuesday, June 2, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
29-20 Rating 1553
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Padres
25-26 Rating 1465
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 227 193
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 49 51
Avg runs scored 5.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.6
Win percentage 59% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 74% 71%