Final Score: Phillies 10 - Cardinals 7
Tuesday, May 5, 2009 at 8:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
13-10 Rating 1549
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Cardinals
17-9 Rating 1517
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 269 289
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 23 26
Avg runs scored 5.9 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.2
Win percentage 57% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 78% 71%