Final Score: Cubs 3 - Cardinals 4
Friday, April 24, 2009 at 8:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
8-6 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.1
Cardinals
11-5 Rating 1514
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 331 328
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 14 16
Avg runs scored 4.8 6.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 57% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 80%