Final Score: Cardinals 7 - Cubs 4
Thursday, April 16, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
7-3 Rating 1510
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
5-3 Rating 1527
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 327 329
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 10 8
Avg runs scored 5.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 3.7 3.8
Win percentage 70% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 50%