Final Score: Cardinals 7 - Cubs 8
Friday, April 17, 2009 at 2:20 PM ET

Cardinals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
8-3 Rating 1512
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.4
Cubs
5-4 Rating 1525
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Cubs
All-time wins 328 329
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Cubs
Games played 11 9
Avg runs scored 5.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.1
Win percentage 73% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 33%