Final Score: Phillies 6 - Cardinals 1
Monday, May 4, 2009 at 8:15 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
12-10 Rating 1547
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Cardinals
17-8 Rating 1519
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 268 289
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 22 25
Avg runs scored 5.9 5.6
Avg runs conceded 5.6 4.2
Win percentage 55% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 77%