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Final Score: Malta 1–1 Gibraltar
UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 1 · Round 3
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Malta vs Gibraltar Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Malta had a 58% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1314 · World #165
Form: WLLLW
VS
Rating 1194 · World #202
Form: DLLLL
Pre-match probability
58%
17%
Draw 25%

League D ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
1 Malta 3 7 1314 93% 7% <1%
2 Gibraltar 2 2 1194 7% 63% 30%
3 Andorra 3 1 1198 <1% 30% 70%
Promoted to League C (1st, 2nd, 3rd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 8 internationals in any competition
MaltaStatGibraltar
2-1-5Won-Drawn-Lost0-1-8
0.75Avg goals scored0.22
2.75Avg goals conceded2.56
1314Rating1194
#165World rank#202

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MaltaStatGibraltar
2Wins (4 meetings, 1 draw)1
2Last 4 meetings (1 draw)1
1.0Average goals0.5
Last meeting (Thu, Oct 1, 2026, Nations League): Malta 1–1 Gibraltar

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡น Malta

@ Andorra
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 43%
2–1
@ Luxembourg
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 15%
0–3
vs Luxembourg
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 23%
0–2
vs Poland
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
2–3
@ Finland
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 7%
1–0

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Gibraltar

vs Andorra
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 39%
0–0
@ Latvia
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 12%
0–1
vs Latvia
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–1
@ Czech Republic
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–6
vs Montenegro
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
1–2