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La Liga
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 77% chance to win.

7-0-0 · Rating 2085
Form: WWWWW
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
77%
8%
Draw 14%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.3%8.2%5.8%
If Win <1%27.2%11.6%2.5%
If Draw <1%19.3%9.5%4.8%
If Lose <1%15.7%7.1%6.5%

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 80.9%99.9%<1%<1%
If Win 84.5%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 78.5%99.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 72.7%99.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarcelonaStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
4.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.0Avg goals conceded1.9
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BarcelonaStatReal Sociedad
21All-time wins (32 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
2.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Real Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona