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Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 76% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Barcelona
11-0-1Rating 2096
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
76%
Draw 15%
9%
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%42.9%16.5%<1%
If Win <1%59.6%15.5%<1%
If Draw <1%49.4%15.8%<1%
If Lose <1%40.6%16.2%<1%

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 69.9%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 73.0%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 64.3%100.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 57.0%100.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarcelonaStatReal Sociedad
12Games played12
4.0Avg goals scored1.8
1.1Avg goals conceded1.7
92% / 0% / 8%Win / Draw / Loss58% / 8% / 33%
83% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BarcelonaStatReal Sociedad
21All-time wins (32 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
2.2Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-18): Real Sociedad 2–1 Barcelona