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Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 74% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
5-3-0Rating 1916
Form: DWDDW
vs
Model Probability
74%
Draw 16%
10%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%28.6%11.5%
If Win <1%1.5%1.6%20.1%5.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.4%9.3%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%31.4%11.5%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 11.9%92.0%3.5%<1%<1%
If Win 13.2%93.6%3.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 9.3%89.1%4.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 6.9%85.5%6.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatUnion Berlin
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored0.9
0.8Avg goals conceded2.4
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 50% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatUnion Berlin
10All-time wins (15 meetings, 1 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Union Berlin 0–0 Dortmund