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Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 76% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 12, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL
vs
Model Probability
9%
Draw 15%
76%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 85.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 79.8%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 76.6%99.7%<1%<1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%28.5%11.1%
If Win <1%1.2%1.5%20.3%5.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.2%9.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.4%12.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatBayern Munich
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored3.4
2.4Avg goals conceded1.0
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
20% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatBayern Munich
0All-time wins (15 meetings, 5 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.7Average goals2.8
Last meeting (2026-09-18): Bayern Munich 7–0 Union Berlin