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Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 50% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Jan 29, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL
vs
Model Probability
24%
Draw 26%
50%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%46.4%14.9%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%53.3%16.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%43.4%16.3%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%35.7%16.0%<1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%29.4%11.5%
If Win <1%1.5%1.0%21.6%6.3%
If Draw <1%<1%1.0%29.0%10.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.5%13.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatBayer Leverkusen
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.2
2.4Avg goals conceded2.0
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
20% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatBayer Leverkusen
2All-time wins (15 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-05): Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 Union Berlin