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Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lorient vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 40% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
32%
40%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.9%39.3%13.5%<1%<1%
If Win 9.9%42.7%15.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.3%34.5%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.5%31.8%12.7%<1%<1%

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.1%15.0%4.8%
If Win <1%2.7%3.2%11.3%3.5%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.3%15.1%5.3%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.7%17.0%6.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LorientStatLyon
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.4
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LorientStatLyon
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-12): Lyon 2–0 Lorient