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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lens vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 65% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
Model Probability
65%
15%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.0%17.1%
If Win <1%<1%1.5%20.0%10.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.3%13.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%26.7%17.4%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.6%18.5%10.9%2.1%<1%
If Win 1.7%19.5%12.5%1.4%<1%
If Draw 1.4%14.3%9.2%2.2%<1%
If Lose 1.1%10.9%8.2%2.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatNice
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored0.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatNice
4All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Nice 1–1 Lens