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Lens vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 52% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.1%5.1%3.3%<1%
If Win <1%8.2%7.1%1.2%<1%
If Draw <1%5.6%4.9%2.5%<1%
If Lose <1%3.8%3.6%4.1%<1%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%7.7%6.2%2.2%<1%
If Win <1%9.2%7.9%1.8%<1%
If Draw <1%5.9%5.2%3.0%<1%
If Lose <1%3.9%3.7%3.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatNice
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored1.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 10% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatNice
4All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Nice 1–1 Lens