← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Nice vs Lyon

Nice vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 38% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
34%
Draw 28%
38%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%24.5%12.6%<1%<1%
If Win <1%32.2%13.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%24.5%12.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%18.9%10.0%<1%<1%

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.6%5.2%2.9%<1%
If Win <1%7.9%6.5%1.6%<1%
If Draw <1%4.2%4.7%3.2%<1%
If Lose <1%3.3%3.0%4.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NiceStatLyon
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded0.9
50% / 20% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NiceStatLyon
11All-time wins (34 meetings, 6 draws)17
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-10-18): Lyon 2–1 Nice