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Nice vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Nice has a 41% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.3%3.2%6.3%<1%
If Win <1%5.5%4.5%2.9%<1%
If Draw <1%2.9%2.4%5.1%<1%
If Lose <1%1.5%2.3%8.1%1.0%

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.1%4.6%3.0%<1%
If Win <1%7.3%5.8%1.4%<1%
If Draw <1%4.1%3.8%3.3%<1%
If Lose <1%2.7%3.3%4.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NiceStatToulouse
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 20% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NiceStatToulouse
12All-time wins (29 meetings, 10 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Toulouse 5–1 Nice