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Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Troyes vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Troyes has a 37% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1741
Form: LDWLD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%1.5%15.0%5.8%
If Win <1%3.3%2.7%10.0%2.8%
If Draw <1%2.0%2.3%14.7%5.7%
If Lose <1%1.9%1.6%16.5%8.1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.5%19.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%23.5%13.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.4%19.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.2%25.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLorient
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.0
2.2Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLorient
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Lorient 1–2 Troyes