← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Strasbourg vs Marseille

Strasbourg vs Marseille Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 39% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3-1-6Rating 1764
Form: LWLLL
vs
Model Probability
39%
Draw 28%
33%
Ligue 1
Marseille
6-0-4Rating 1799
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.0%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%37.7%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.7%12.9%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%21.7%10.7%<1%<1%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.8%2.7%7.4%1.0%
If Win <1%3.6%4.4%4.4%<1%
If Draw <1%1.6%2.2%7.4%1.0%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.3%10.9%1.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatMarseille
10Games played10
1.8Avg goals scored2.2
2.2Avg goals conceded1.4
30% / 10% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 0% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatMarseille
1All-time wins (18 meetings, 9 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-08-21): Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg