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Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 13, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 41% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
31%
41%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.6%58.8%12.5%<1%<1%
If Win 19.7%66.3%11.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.7%57.6%12.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 11.4%50.0%12.6%<1%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.3%2.2%15.8%6.1%
If Win <1%2.9%2.9%11.0%3.0%
If Draw <1%1.5%2.0%15.0%4.9%
If Lose <1%<1%1.5%18.3%8.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatMonaco
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatMonaco
4All-time wins (24 meetings, 8 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Toulouse 2–2 Monaco