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Lens vs Le Havre Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 60% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
60%
Draw 23%
17%
Ligue 1
Le Havre
0-2-8Rating 1678
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Le Havre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.2%46.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%36.2%33.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%33.0%44.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.5%52.0%

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%6.8%5.5%2.7%<1%
If Win <1%8.3%7.6%1.8%<1%
If Draw <1%4.8%4.5%3.2%<1%
If Lose <1%3.5%2.9%5.7%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LensStatLe Havre
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded2.2
40% / 10% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 20% / 80%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LensStatLe Havre
3All-time wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-30): Lens 1–0 Le Havre