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Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Sunderland has a 36% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Sunderland
2-2-6Rating 1828
Form: WLDLL
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%5.9%5.5%8.4%
If Win <1%9.2%5.6%4.9%
If Draw <1%5.9%4.5%7.5%
If Lose <1%4.2%3.5%9.9%

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%35.4%
If Win <1%1.5%1.2%29.1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.0%37.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%40.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatNewcastle
10Games played10
0.8Avg goals scored1.3
1.7Avg goals conceded1.6
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatNewcastle
8All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland