Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability
Sunderland has a 37% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Newcastle
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.3% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 30.6% | 9.4% | 2.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | 23.1% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
Sunderland
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 17.1% |
| If Win | <1% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 13.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 18.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 21.8% |
| Sunderland | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 20% / 20% / 60% | Win / Draw / Loss | 40% / 40% / 20% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Sunderland | Stat | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws) | 2 |
| 4 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 0 |
| 1.5 | Average goals | 0.9 |