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Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Brighton vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Brighton has a 56% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
56%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.3%4.2%14.4%
If Win <1%9.7%5.1%10.9%
If Draw <1%7.1%4.0%14.0%
If Lose <1%5.2%3.6%17.9%

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.9%57.2%9.6%<1%
If Win 4.6%61.6%8.5%<1%
If Draw 3.2%51.9%10.6%<1%
If Lose 2.0%49.3%9.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BrightonStatNottingham
5Games played5
3.2Avg goals scored0.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BrightonStatNottingham
9All-time wins (20 meetings, 6 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-03-01): Brighton 2–1 Nottingham