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Wed, Mar 3, 2027 · 8:00 PM GMT

Liverpool vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 47% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.9%9.4%3.9%
If Win 1.0%32.5%9.5%2.4%
If Draw <1%24.0%8.4%3.8%
If Lose <1%20.4%7.9%4.8%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.7%53.0%8.8%<1%
If Win 3.4%58.5%8.9%<1%
If Draw 2.1%50.7%10.1%<1%
If Lose 1.5%43.5%9.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatAston Villa
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatAston Villa
16All-time wins (26 meetings, 5 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-15): Aston Villa 4–2 Liverpool