Premier League
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Chelsea has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 31.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | 18.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 18.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 23.4% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 0.8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 4 draws) | 7 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 2.3 | Average goals | 1.1 |