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Northampton vs Port Vale Prediction & Win Probability

Northampton has a 36% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1177
Form: LDWLW
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
League Two
Port Vale
4-3-5Rating 1236
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.5%3.5%22.9%1.6%
If Win 4.7%4.7%30.5%1.2%
If Draw 3.3%3.3%22.8%1.6%
If Lose 2.3%2.3%21.9%2.3%

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.6%15.7%
If Win <1%<1%5.6%10.3%
If Draw <1%<1%3.4%15.3%
If Lose <1%<1%2.5%18.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NorthamptonStatPort Vale
13Games played12
0.7Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
23% / 38% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 25% / 42%
29% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NorthamptonStatPort Vale
6All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-24): Northampton 0–1 Port Vale